# Are You Overconfident?

We shall now find out if Messy Matters readers are smarter than Mechanical Turkers. For each of the questions below, provide a numerical range that you are 90% sure contains the correct answer. In particular, if you have “no idea” then give a very wide range; and if you happen to be quite certain then give a narrow range.

If you are perfectly calibrated then 90% of your intervals (no more, no less) should contain the right answers.

**Please try your best, but don’t look up the answers!**

(If the quiz doesn’t show up in your news reader, click through to the post on messymatters.com.)

We’ll discuss the results in the next post.

*Quiz from Decision Traps by Russo and Shoemaker.*
*Image by Kelly Savage.*

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