Sunday, July 31st, 2011
Sometime during the late 19th or early 20th century, a simian
immunodeficiency virus that infects wild chimpanzees made the jump
to humans who hunted the animals. The mutated human strains spread
from one individual to the next through intimate contact —
usually unprotected sex or needle sharing — often leaving
carriers absent of symptoms for...
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Thursday, June 30th, 2011
Yesterday
Decision Science News
asked “Should you buy car insurance?” By which they mean collision insurance, liability
insurance being required by law in these parts. I’m shocked
and appalled that decision scientists could even ask such a thing.
Actually, it’s a good question with some legitimate
subtleties. I just happen to have an unreasonably strong opinion
about... »
Tags: decision theory,
economics,
efficient markets,
fallacies,
insurance,
marlon brando,
no-trade theorem,
rationality,
wagers
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Tuesday, May 31st, 2011
For a lot of engineering problems, “almost right”
isn’t good enough. Remember the
Mars Climate Orbiter? Traveling through space for nearly a year, and covering 700
million kilometers, the Orbiter disintegrated after entering the
Martian atmosphere at an altitude just one-hundred kilometers
lower than planned. That’s like a $100 million dart
exploding when you miss...
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Tags: ai,
music,
partifi
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6 Comments »
Saturday, April 30th, 2011
This article is co-authored with
Bethany Soule. If you want to
(bee)mind
how you spend your time (and
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Tags: beeminder,
time tracking
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Thursday, March 31st, 2011
Anyone who knows me knows that I love
power laws.
What other distribution even comes close? The
normal? Boring.
Poisson? Too fishy.
Hypergeometric? Ok, that one’s pretty cool, too. But still, power laws
reign supreme in my mind. Evidence of the mystical power of power
laws is found by simply looking at references to “power
laws”... »
Tags: april fools,
data,
fallacies,
power laws
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12 Comments »